KY Amendment 2 discussion thread

[oldkyhome]

Looks like No wins by 1-2% here at this point, but I think there's interesting parallels with the county map here and KY-Gov 2019. No is outperforming Beshear 2019 in almost all the counties he won, but on that same token Yes is outperforming Bevin 2019 in almost every county he won. There's an interesting cultural divide here that's been exacerbated by this issue.

What makes these trends all the more noticeable is the Amendment 1 map. Much stronger presence for No in Eastern KY, while Yes gets much closer in counties like Jefferson, Warren, and up in the Cincy suburbs.

For instance:
Magofin County (rural Eastern Kentucky)-
Yes: 63%
No: 37%

Beshear: 54%
Bevin: 44%

Campbell County (Northern KY Cincy suburbs)-
Yes: 43%
No: 57%

Beshear: 52%
Bevin: 46%

With all Jefferson and Campbell precincts in, I expect Amendment 1 to fail by 6-7% and Amendment 2 to fail by 3-4%.

[oldkyhome]

precinct map bc why not

not especially surprising--obvious urban-rural divide is obvious, who would've guessed (with generally republican but socially liberal suburbs voting no along with urban areas). the glaring central ky vs. the rest of the state divide is interesting though: every precinct in franklin, woodford, fayette, bourbon and nicholas counties voted no. even rowan county, somehow

Is there any way I can find the precinct margins on this site?