Not the greatest results for Biden but certainly not the obliteration fools are hyping up in the DMR poll.
The difference is Selzer polls are the gold standard, Redfield not so much! What’s “foolish” is trusting a 37/36 Michigan poll or whatever to be meaningful at all, let alone better than Selzer. And STILL Biden is losing in every single state in this poll! If this is the best he’s got, YIKES!
This is a moderate amount of movement from the previous RW polls. He stayed steady in 3 and improved a decent amount in 3.
The problem with Selzer is that what she is famous for is the Iowa caucus. Not even the state really and certainly not the nation. And we all know how the Caucus went this year. Plus she is famous specifically for her results in the last poll before the vote, not her polls 5 months out.
People like to hype up the whole "gold standard" thing but it doesn't mean you can extrapolate a poll 5 months before the election to a bunch of neighboring states. Especially since the last few elections were transition elections. Iowa is red trending but the swing states really aren't to the same degree.
