Not to toot my own horn, but there were people who saw this coming.
52.7% Johnson (R, inc.)
47.3% Barnes (D)
(no third-party candidates on the ballot)
Feel free to mock this if I’m wrong, but assuming there’s a turnout surge in November which wasn’t captured by those special elections, this race probably won’t be particularly close. Barnes would an unusual (for a midterm under a Democratic trifecta) turnout gap to win, and I don’t think he’ll get it.
In their defense, the election hasn't happened yet. So abit early too "toot" anything.