PA SEN Emerson Fetterman+2

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Strongly suspect this will become part of a national trend, and it’s also why I haven’t written off Masters yet.

The question could be why then. Could Democrats be bad at campaigning, be seen as more change since passing their agenda, or are people just becoming more interested in tax cuts and abortion bans?

Republicans finally waking up?

If it really is a neutral environment like the generic ballot polls say, states like Pennsylvania are going to be single point races regardless.

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If Fetterman really is up about +5, a +2 poll seems perfectly reasonable.

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Need to strongly remind users here that most people don't tune into politics until around Labor Day (sometimes as a hard personal rule) and that the Fetterman campaign has been a disaster since then. This is a toss-up.

Has it? Seems like Oz has stepped up his game finally but Fetterman hasn't had any huge missteps of note.

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Need to strongly remind users here that most people don't tune into politics until around Labor Day (sometimes as a hard personal rule) and that the Fetterman campaign has been a disaster since then. This is a toss-up.

Has it? Seems like Oz has stepped up his game finally but Fetterman hasn't had any huge missteps of note.

I also think the Oz campaign has righted the ship and is doing a bang-up job, but the story of the past few weeks has been Fetterman dodging media and haggling over debates, failing to answer Oz's attacks, and one of his own biggest attacks ("Oz owns multiple properties") blowing up in his face.

Not sure I agree that that's been the story of the past few weeks but we obviously follow different media circles.

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Also interesting that Biden is polling better in these swing states than nationally. In Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, his approval has been in the negative single digits. You'd think he'd be close to near even nationally if that were the case. Wouldn't be surprised if we get an exit poll shock like in 2020 where Trump had net even(or close to it) approval. Also could be the opposite and polling is over estimating Biden's numbers but I'd rather not think too hard on that reality.

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Let the tightening begin.

Has it not already begun?

We've gotten 6(?) PA senate polls all with Fetterman leading between +2 to +5 within the last week I think.