PA-SEN (F&M College): Fetterman +4

[BenjiG98]

While the race has tightened, I still think Fetterman pulls it off. Oz can't seem to break the 44-45% barrier while Fetterman easily hits the high 40s and crosses over 50 on occasion too. Of course, you can argue that undecideds will put Oz over the line, but I don't see that happening right now. Shame we're still 39 days away.

[BenjiG98]

Tilt R at this point. These are just not the kind of polling numbers that result in a D victory.

How do you extrapolate Tilt R from a D+4 poll? Sure the margin is narrowing, but Oz is stuck in the mid-40's. Are you THAT confident that Oz will win ever single undecided?