Will Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania all vote the same way? (user search)
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Will Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania all vote the same way? (search mode)
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Question: 100 day poll
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Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: Will Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania all vote the same way?  (Read 821 times)
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Harry
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« on: May 11, 2024, 05:05:27 PM »
Quote from: PeteB on May 11, 2024, 02:58:31 PM
Unless the election is a landslide for either candidate, than no - they are statistically unlikely to vote the same way, all of them being swing states.

I don't think that's true because they aren't independent from each other. Whatever factors make Pennsylvania flip or not flip will likely apply to Wisconsin and Michigan too.

One wildcard might be the Muslims in Michigan, but even then we're talking 2% in Michigan vs. 1% in the other two.
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