2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 645408 times)
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Harry
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« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:47 PM »
I'll go out on a limb and say that Ohio is close enough that Biden should win MI/WI/PA and therefore the White House. But it's going to be a tough week before that's confirmed.
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Harry
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« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2020, 10:25:03 PM »
Quote from: Co-Chair Bagel23 on November 03, 2020, 10:22:49 PM
Am I the only one who still thinks Biden wins lol

No, his performance in Ohio bodes well for MI/WI/PA, and he's also probably won AZ and has a shot in NC.

But it's disappointing to not have a big mandate.
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Harry
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« Reply #27 on: November 03, 2020, 10:27:48 PM »
Also MI+WI+AZ gets Biden to 269, and just 1 more state, or 1 ME/NE district would put him at 270.
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Harry
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« Reply #28 on: November 03, 2020, 10:30:35 PM »
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Harry
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« Reply #29 on: November 03, 2020, 11:09:42 PM »
AZ and NE2 look like they're going to Biden, which means Biden can win with 2/3 of MI/WI/PA.


And I think it means he might win before the sun comes up?
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Harry
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« Reply #30 on: November 03, 2020, 11:15:31 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on November 03, 2020, 11:13:42 PM
The 2012 map +AZ/NE-2 and -FL might actually be quite realistic here.     I still think NC can go either way though, but probably won't matter for President.

Surely Biden can't come back in Ohio, can he?
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Harry
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« Reply #31 on: November 03, 2020, 11:29:58 PM »
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Harry
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« Reply #32 on: November 03, 2020, 11:33:16 PM »
Who is Deborah Jackson in Georgia and why did she come in way ahead of Lieberman and Tarver?
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Harry
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« Reply #33 on: November 03, 2020, 11:54:55 PM »
Seems very likely that Biden gains at least 200,000 votes in Atlanta before this is over. But it doesn't look like enough, unless he gets an even bigger margin and there's basically no other Trump areas outstanding.
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Harry
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« Reply #34 on: November 04, 2020, 12:05:05 AM »


Where I think we are in the morning.
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Harry
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« Reply #35 on: November 04, 2020, 12:06:37 AM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 04, 2020, 12:05:50 AM


And we legalized California-style "medical" marijuana, and got rid of the State House veto of statewide election results. Good set of results there.
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Harry
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« Reply #36 on: November 04, 2020, 12:14:10 AM »
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Harry
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« Reply #37 on: November 04, 2020, 12:23:07 AM »
Quote from: Anarcho-Statism on November 04, 2020, 12:22:22 AM
Does anyone have any info on the Puerto Rican statehood referendum?
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Harry
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« Reply #38 on: November 04, 2020, 12:26:11 AM »
Georgia needle starting to creep away from Trump! What a wonderful late-night surprise!
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Harry
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« Reply #39 on: November 04, 2020, 12:30:41 AM »
I'm watching Fox right now and AZ is still blue...
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Harry
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« Reply #40 on: November 04, 2020, 12:41:23 AM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 04, 2020, 12:39:09 AM
So how are we currently feeling about:

MI? Likely Biden

WI? Likely Biden

PA? TOSSUP
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Harry
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« Reply #41 on: November 04, 2020, 12:44:35 AM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 04, 2020, 12:43:13 AM
Quote from: 2,868,686 on November 04, 2020, 12:41:23 AM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 04, 2020, 12:39:09 AM
So how are we currently feeling about:

MI? Likely Biden

WI? Likely Biden

PA? TOSSUP

And that’s enough to win with AZ and NE-02 let alone GA.

Yep, the election as a whole is Likely D now. Not quite safe, but it's getting close.
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Harry
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« Reply #42 on: November 04, 2020, 12:51:50 AM »
Counting votes after Tuesday is stealing the election ... except in Arizona.
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Harry
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« Reply #43 on: November 04, 2020, 12:55:52 AM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 04, 2020, 12:53:31 AM
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on November 04, 2020, 12:46:56 AM
Quote from: Dread it, run from it, Republican Iowa arrives all the same on November 04, 2020, 12:44:04 AM
I can't help but see the parallels with Hillary Clinton in 2016 with Biden's address on CNN.
A happy Joe Biden addressing a bunch of happy supporters honking cars is the same as deflated Hillary addressing a room full of crying supporters?

If you think Biden is happy right now, I do not know what to tell you...

He has been embarrassed.

Losers are embarrassed, not winners.
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Harry
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« Reply #44 on: November 04, 2020, 12:59:50 AM »
Now that Biden has a likely path that doesn't involve Pennsylvania or Georgia ... can he get to 270 by sunup?
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Harry
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« Reply #45 on: November 04, 2020, 01:01:27 AM »
To win the Senate, Dems need two out of:

Maine, Montana, North Carolina, Alaska, and the 2 Georgia seats
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Harry
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« Reply #46 on: November 04, 2020, 01:19:10 AM »
Does anyone think Bullock still has a chance? I've spot-checked some counties against Tester's 2018 map, and I'm just not sure.
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Harry
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« Reply #47 on: November 04, 2020, 01:29:02 AM »
So, if Biden wins 270-268, will the Nebraska legislature try to take the 5th EV away from him?
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Harry
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« Reply #48 on: November 04, 2020, 01:29:20 AM »
Quote from: Oh Jeremy Corbyn! on November 04, 2020, 01:28:58 AM
Is the presidential race over in North Carolina?  I don't see anyone talking about that state.  And what happened to the Senate race?

Still accepting mail-in ballots for a week (?)
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Harry
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« Reply #49 on: November 04, 2020, 01:41:09 AM »
Quote from: You Reap What You Sow on November 04, 2020, 01:39:16 AM
Trump's lead in GA down from 325,000 to 127,000 in the past hour.

Needle moved from 59 to 64 just now
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