NYT/Sienna: AZ - Biden+8

[Badger]

Biden's the clear favorite here. Is AZ going to vote with the nation, despite voting 5.5% to the right of the NPV in 2016? Looks very possible.

Quite possible. It's going to vote anywhere from a point or two left to a point or two right of pvi.

[Badger]

Could Biden actually win this thing?

Horus the doomer has been broken. I am the only holdout...

I'm still predicting a tied EC.

LOLOLOL

You realize the odds of a tied EC are ridiculously slim right? Less than 1% chance. Predicting a tied EC is NOT an improvement over your previous predictions of outright Trump wins; it’s actually significantly dumber!

It’s painfully obvious at this point that you are desperately trying to avoid predicting the obvious (Biden wins) at all costs, no matter how much you have to debase and embarrass yourself to do it. Just sad now. However, you continue to rapidly pivot farther away from your initial predictions of a Trump landslide, so you’re still on pace to meet my own prediction that by Election Day, you’ll be claiming you knew Biden would win all along.

I think this is a reasonable map.

Other than the fact Biden has been leading in Wisconsin and Arizona by substantial margins for months....

Sure, totes reasonable