TX-HD 108: Biden +23

[Badger]

Who is the Democrat running for this seat in 2020?

Mentioned in the poll. She's apparently Five Points up in the initial poll, and then 10 points up in what they call the final poll, which I assume is after some push questions.

Bottom line, ain't no way in hell even a moderate popular local Republican is going to survive Biden winning this seat by 20 + points.

[Badger]

Who is the Democrat running for this seat in 2020?

Mentioned in the poll. She's apparently Five Points up in the initial poll, and then 10 points up in what they call the final poll, which I assume is after some push questions.

Bottom line, ain't no way in hell even a moderate popular local Republican is going to survive Biden winning this seat by 20 + points.

He smiles at you...

What a simultaneously creepy and inscrutable post.

[Badger]

Who is the Democrat running for this seat in 2020?

Mentioned in the poll. She's apparently Five Points up in the initial poll, and then 10 points up in what they call the final poll, which I assume is after some push questions.

Bottom line, ain't no way in hell even a moderate popular local Republican is going to survive Biden winning this seat by 20 + points.

He smiles at you...

What a simultaneously creepy and inscrutable post.

My point is that Phil is very likely to win reelection even though Trump may not even crack 30% in Vermont. The headwinds will certainly be very tough for Meyer, but he shouldn't be counted out.

Ah, that's Phil Scott. Okay, I get it.

[Badger]

Who is the Democrat running for this seat in 2020?

Mentioned in the poll. She's apparently Five Points up in the initial poll, and then 10 points up in what they call the final poll, which I assume is after some push questions.

Bottom line, ain't no way in hell even a moderate popular local Republican is going to survive Biden winning this seat by 20 + points.

He smiles at you...

At the local and state level Vermont is still somewhat parochial like much of the rest of the New England. The same can't really be said elsewhere.

How about Baker and Hogan? Sure, they didn't have their presidential candidate losing their state by around a two-to-one margin while running for re-election like Scott, but they had to survive a mass of democratic wavier in 2018, and did so with ease.

[Badger]

So you’re saying that massive Democratic gains in TX since 2016 can’t be chalked up to the "Beto effect" or "anti-Cruz sentiment"?

Beto's margin is the new floor for TX Dems.

Lupe Valdez says hello.

I also question whether Hegar will make it even that close a race.