Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[LostInOhio]

If inflation recedes and gas prices go down to, say, $2.00 a gallon, will that even improve his approval any?

How close are we to a “point of no return” where the public’s perception of him is set in stone no matter what happens?

[LostInOhio]

The fact that Biden's approval rating remains unchanged despite this being by far the best week of his presidency just shows how worthless this metric is.  Democrats scored a huge electoral victory last night despite everyone supposedly hating Biden.

I think his approval is completely divorced from his accomplishments & successes. People don’t seem to like him, regardless of any legislation he signs off on or how many terrorists he kills.

It is also largely driven by two things, the media and young people. Disliking and mocking him has become a meme at this point among the young and the media has completely snowed him politically. Fox News is a big culprit but the lower approval ratings and “everyone hates him” line has become repeated ad naseaum in the mainstream media as well. The fact of the matter is that Democrats always seem to need a charismatic figure to unify the party or they are simply unhappy.

When standing at the ballot box & faced with Trump, however, every single one of those voters will come home.

[LostInOhio]

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1561451509409259520

I would literally pay a thousand bucks easily just to see Trump’s reaction to this map as it plays out in real time.

[LostInOhio]

A 45% approval at this time as several pollsters place it would put him ahead of Reagan, Clinton and Obama.

I would say there’s an outside chance we may see something close to a landslide in ‘24 against Trump if inflation recedes further and the economy is perceived to be good on Election Day. I have no doubt this will be controversial but there are many blaring red alarms for the GOP at this time and there has been no effort to fix any of the things currently causing it.

[LostInOhio]

What, if anything, could boost his approval ratings above 50% before November 2024?

The only thing I could think of is if Russia fully retreats from Ukraine and Zelensky directly credits Biden for it. Even then I’m not sure. Part of me feels that Biden could literally authorize funding that leads to a cancer cure and not get back above 50%.

[LostInOhio]

Pew:

His net favorability now is  9% less than it was on July 2022

60% unfavorable?! Yikes. That is getting close to Bush 08 territory.

(And yes I know Trump’s are roughly the same - which is still very worrying seeing as how he is under indictment for multiple felonies)

[LostInOhio]

Just out of curiosity, I wonder where Biden's approvals would be today if back in April he announced not to seek reelection? I assume higher, though lower than immediately after the announcement.

I used to disagree with the idea of Biden not running again due to his age, but now I'm starting to wonder whether that wouldn't have been better for the party overall. I understand the incumbency brings a great advantage but I don't know how useful it is now given the fact that Biden is so wildly unpopular. Maybe someone fresh like Gretchen Whitmer or Raphael Warnock would've been better for the Democrats next year with Biden supporting them in the background.

Perception is everything in politics and Biden just comes off as so old. It's the first thing most people picture when they think of him, regardless of what he's accomplished or how awful Trump is.

[LostInOhio]

Monmouth: 41% approve and 52% disapprove in... New Jersey.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NJ_081723/

They've had pretty bad approval for him in New Jersey for a while now. I could understand he's not doing so hot there given the status of nationwide, but 41/52 is essentially what his nationwide average is right now, so the same in NJ wouldn't make much sense.

Weird poll because it has Murphy +10 which seems about right but Booker at only +7. He's one of the most inoffensive Dem senators, especially for Jersey, so that also seems pretty low.

Yeah it's weird that Booker's not higher. In general I'm not sure why Booker has never caught on with a national audience. We'd be in much better shape if he'd been the nominee in 2020 IMO and I have no idea why he did so poorly in the primary, it's really baffling to me

Booker/Klobuchar would've been great.

[LostInOhio]

I must admit, I thought his approvals would have improved by this time. Perhaps we have to be more patient. Otherwise, he's going to win 2024 only because Trump is even less popular.

Are you sure about that? He is polling less than Trump was at this point in his presidency, albeit by a few points