NH-UMass Lowell: Tied

[Antonio the Sixth]

Tell me if you see anything wrong here:

10/13 poll: Clinton +6
-Party ID: 44% for Dems and GOP each, 12% Indy
-Party Reg: 28% Dems, 27% GOP, 45% Indy

11/3 poll: Tie
-Party ID: 48% GOP, 40% Dems, 12% Indy
-Party Reg: 30% GOP, 26% Dems, 44% Indy

So all the swing here was caused by a shift in the electorate. Presumably Republicans were more motivated to answer, while Democrats stayed out.

This might signal lack of enthusiasm for Hillary, but my hunch is that Dem voters will ultimately turn out normally.