GA (Atlas Intel): Ossoff/Warnock +4

[tagimaucia]

This was probably the best pollster of 2020 all-in-all.  The only pollster that was clearly in a top tier performance-wise in both the Dem primaries and the general election.

I don't really know anything about their methodology beyond what is stated in their pdf, but they claimed somewhere else that they do things to "control for non-response bias."

[tagimaucia]

Atlas was the best for the NPV. I think Democrats get the senate unless the Democratic brand in the senate is that toxic.

Do they weight for education ? If they'd don't this poll is pure junk then

Their methodology seems to indicate that they do even though the split seems very wrong. Their pre-November Georgia poll showed pretty much the same education split and had Trump up by 2 (and this one has recalled November vote at Trump +1)

[tagimaucia]

They did a second poll right after this one, with almost identical results (smaller sample size):

https://twitter.com/atlas_intel/status/1346249842213998592