Turnout

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No realy evidence that that will be the case. The upsurge could be for Bush. No one really knows. In a few hours however we sure will.

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One thing about the "turnout" is that the Dems have registered quite a few young voters who support Kerry, and new voters also support Kerry, and all the polls don't include cell phones which younger voters use.  At the same time, Bush is urging all his supporters to get their cousin to vote or whatever.

I guess the biggest wildcard in this election is Hawaii.

I doubt every single young new voter will vote for Kerry. This is a big assumption which is going to be knocked on its arse today.