R&W: Biden +6 in AZ, +5 in FL, +8 in MI, +5 in NC, +7 in PA, +10 in WI (user search)
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  R&W: Biden +6 in AZ, +5 in FL, +8 in MI, +5 in NC, +7 in PA, +10 in WI (search mode)
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Author Topic: R&W: Biden +6 in AZ, +5 in FL, +8 in MI, +5 in NC, +7 in PA, +10 in WI  (Read 2758 times)
pbrower2a
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Posts: 26,895
United States


« on: October 09, 2020, 02:11:05 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah

It looks like a competent pollster in British politics, and it has a healthy disinterest. Competence and disinterest? I prefer this.

The big question in most Presidential elections is not so much how people think as it is who votes. Thus in an R wave as in 2010 or 2014, a right-leaning pollster such as Rasmussen gets the correct result. In a good year for Democrats, PPP gets it right.
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pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,895
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2020, 09:20:49 PM »

That was blue avatars argument that WI WOW counties were R and PA was the R version of VA, notwithstanding that we won them in 2018, and they also said ME2 was likely R

Unless one has an obvious parallel in the past, more recent data overpowers past knowledge. That Colorado, New Mexico, and Virginia went for Dubya in 2004 has no bearing on this race. 
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