R&W: Biden +6 in AZ, +5 in FL, +8 in MI, +5 in NC, +7 in PA, +10 in WI
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  R&W: Biden +6 in AZ, +5 in FL, +8 in MI, +5 in NC, +7 in PA, +10 in WI
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Author Topic: R&W: Biden +6 in AZ, +5 in FL, +8 in MI, +5 in NC, +7 in PA, +10 in WI  (Read 2532 times)
VAR
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« on: October 09, 2020, 01:57:26 PM »

AZ
Biden 49 (+2)
Trump 43 (-1)

FL
Biden 49 (+1)
Trump 44 (+1)

MI
Biden 50 (-1)
Trump 42

NC
Biden 49 (+2)
Trump 44 (-1)

PA
Biden 49 (-1)
Trump 42 (-2)

WI
Biden 51 (+3)
Trump 41 (-2)

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-4-7-october/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-4-7-october
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President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2020, 01:58:11 PM »

Great numbers that look reasonable overall and line up with national polling. America is ready for Uncle Joe!
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Rand
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« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2020, 01:59:36 PM »

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Ferguson97
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« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2020, 02:00:09 PM »

Great numbers, all look pretty reasonable
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #4 on: October 09, 2020, 02:00:58 PM »

That swing in WI towards Biden is significant.
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republican1993
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« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2020, 02:04:47 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah
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Rand
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« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2020, 02:05:54 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah

Good practice for November 3rd.
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Buzz
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« Reply #7 on: October 09, 2020, 02:07:06 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah
all you have to do is look at the Florida number to know it’s not worth digging.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2020, 02:07:43 PM »

Seems more plausible given national numbers than some of the other recent polls from these states. I Want To Believe, but we shall see.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #9 on: October 09, 2020, 02:08:25 PM »

Thank you R&W, very cool!
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republican1993
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« Reply #10 on: October 09, 2020, 02:09:27 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah

Good practice for November 3rd.

haha i don't care if biden's president he's a republican and moderate in my eyes and the liberals will be pissed regardless so i don't care!
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #11 on: October 09, 2020, 02:11:05 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah

It looks like a competent pollster in British politics, and it has a healthy disinterest. Competence and disinterest? I prefer this.

The big question in most Presidential elections is not so much how people think as it is who votes. Thus in an R wave as in 2010 or 2014, a right-leaning pollster such as Rasmussen gets the correct result. In a good year for Democrats, PPP gets it right.
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Torrain
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« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2020, 02:11:06 PM »

Those are some decent numbers to start the weekend with!

All I need now are a couple more close polls in Texas, and we'll be golden.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2020, 02:11:24 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah

Good practice for November 3rd.

haha i don't care if biden's president he's a republican and moderate in my eyes and the liberals will be pissed regardless so i don't care!

Okay, vote for him then.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2020, 02:11:42 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah
all you have to do is look at the Florida number to know it’s not worth digging.

Biden +5 is only 0.7 points off the average in Florida right now.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2020, 02:12:33 PM »

UK-based Redcoats & Wilton is tryna getting honest opinions from American Rednecks ... Grin
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #16 on: October 09, 2020, 02:14:00 PM »

Adding changes for other results:

AZ
October 4-7
727 likely voters
MoE: 3.63%
Changes with September 23-26

Biden 49% (+2)
Trump 43% (-1)
Another third party/write-in 1% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Don't know 6% (n/c)

FL
October 4-6
998 likely voters
MoE: 3.1%
Changes with September 23-25

Biden 49% (+1)
Trump 44% (-1)
Another third party/write-in 1% (+1)
Jorgensen 1% (-1)
Hawkins 0% (-1)
Don't know 6% (-2)

MI
October 4-6
700 likely voters
MoE: 3.7%
Changes with September 23-26

Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 42% (n/c)
Another third party/write-in 1% (+1)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Hawkins 0% (n/c)
Don't know 6% (n/c)

NC
October 4-6
938 likely voters
MoE: 3.2%
Changes with September 23-26

Biden 49% (+2)
Trump 44% (-1)
Jorgensen 1% (-1)
Another third party/write-in 0% (-1)
Hawkins 0% (n/c)
Don't know 5% (-1)

PA
October 4-6
927 likely voters
MoE: 3.22%
Changes with September 23-25

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 42% (-2)
Another third party/write-in 1% (n/c)
Jorgensen 1% (+1)
Don't know 7% (+2)

WI
October 4-7
688 likely voters
MoE: 3.74%
Changes with September 23-27

Biden 51% (+3)
Trump 41% (-2)
Another third party/write-in 1% (+1)
Jorgensen 1% (-1)
Don't know 6% (-1)

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-4-7-october/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-4-7-october
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Buzz
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« Reply #17 on: October 09, 2020, 02:15:26 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah
all you have to do is look at the Florida number to know it’s not worth digging.

Biden +5 is only 0.7 points off the average in Florida right now.
Gillum +4 worked out quite well for ya?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #18 on: October 09, 2020, 02:19:04 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah
all you have to do is look at the Florida number to know it’s not worth digging.

Biden +5 is only 0.7 points off the average in Florida right now.
Gillum +4 worked out quite well for ya?

You're deflecting.  You originally dismissed the Florida number out of hand, and he pointed out that it's close to the average, so it seems quite reasonable.

Serious question: if you are going to dismiss the polls on a continuing basis, why do you even pay attention to this board?  Surely there are better hobbies.
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: October 09, 2020, 02:21:42 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah

I'd say why do people take you seriously as a poster, but I don't think anyone does
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Badger
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« Reply #20 on: October 09, 2020, 02:22:30 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah

Good practice for November 3rd.

haha i don't care if biden's president he's a republican and moderate in my eyes and the liberals will be pissed regardless so i don't care!

Okay, vote for him then.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #21 on: October 09, 2020, 02:23:38 PM »

JOP... but promising nonetheless
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #22 on: October 09, 2020, 02:28:30 PM »

All expected if Bidens up by 10 lol.
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Buzz
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« Reply #23 on: October 09, 2020, 02:30:21 PM »

why do people take this pollster srsly every week i'm crying hahah
all you have to do is look at the Florida number to know it’s not worth digging.

Biden +5 is only 0.7 points off the average in Florida right now.
Gillum +4 worked out quite well for ya?

You're deflecting.  You originally dismissed the Florida number out of hand, and he pointed out that it's close to the average, so it seems quite reasonable.

Serious question: if you are going to dismiss the polls on a continuing basis, why do you even pay attention to this board?  Surely there are better hobbies.
No deflecting here whatsoever.  I’ve been saying for weeks the Florida numbers are off, so I am staying very much consistent.  The “Florida Average” has Romney, Clinton, and Gillum as winners!  You also seem to think I only dismiss polls which is far from the truth.  I call out things that need to be called out and agree when it looks on the mark.  Your singling me out when there’s plenty others on just throwing “junk” and “toss it” or just OHHHHHHHH YAHHHHH in every thread.  
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #24 on: October 09, 2020, 02:31:23 PM »

Starting to see some meaningful Biden leads in NC for the first time.
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