Nationally, the FOX43/SP&R poll taken April 14-20 also gauged Pennsylvanians thoughts on President Trump's handling of the COVID-19 crisis and the 2020 Presidential Election.
Currently, President Trump trails former vice president Joe Biden 48-42 in a poll of nearly 700 statewide voters. Specifically in the FOX43 viewing area, Trump fares slightly better, but still trails Biden 46-44. That is notable, Lee said, because Central Pennsylvania is still majority Republican, which Trump carried in 2016.
That's the Harrisburg, Pennsylvania market which contains at most two counties (Centre, containing State College and Dauphin, containing Harrisburg) the only two counties between the Philadelphia and Scranton-Wilkes-Barre metro areas in the east and Pittsburgh in the west that went for Hillary Clinton, and those two just barely. (I am not sure of whether State College is in the Scranton-Wilkes-Barre market or the Harrisburg TV market). This was all in all a Strong Trump area in 2016 and is a toss-up now.
Figuring that Democrats have maxed out in Greater Pittsburgh and Greater Philadelphia, this is how a state flips.