Take these polls with a grain of salt, since the majority of statewide elections in FL this decade have been decided by less than 2 points.
...and, more, exactly as the Republicans need unless the Democrat is a sure winner. Florida is close to the national average in Presidential elections, but it never decides for a Democrat. Even in 2018 it was close to the position in which it could decide the Senate majority.
I don't know if it means much, but President Trump changed his official residence from New York to Florida. Favorite-son identity also changes. Trump got much publicity in the NYC metro area whose TV market includes also southwestern Connecticut and northeastern New Jersey, three of his worst states in the 2016 Presidential election. Usually being from an area is a political asset -- if one fits the local political culture. Donald Trump could be one of those people whom, the better one knows him, the less people like him.
My assessment remains: Florida is in a tier of four states (Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio are the others) that make the difference between about 295 electoral votes and 375 electoral votes for the Democrat. Those four states will be very close to each other, and they will be the difference between a bare D win and a low-end landslide (Obama 2008 or Bill Clinton in 1992 or 1996). Trump wins or loses these states together.
