Most likely tipping point state in 2020 (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Most likely tipping point state in 2020 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which state will put the 2020 winner over the top?
#1
Pennsylvania
 
#2
Michigan
 
#3
Wisconsin
 
#4
Florida
 
#5
North Carolina
 
#6
Arizona
 
#7
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: Most likely tipping point state in 2020  (Read 2074 times)
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,922
United States


« on: July 19, 2018, 07:12:31 AM »

It was Iowa in 2008, Ohio in 2004, and Florida in 2000.... and Wisconsin in 2016. Michigan suggests that it will be about as Democratic as Massachusetts in 2020, so it drops out of consideration.

Arizona shows signs of becoming more D than Wisconsin, so at this point I choose Arizona.

In an electoral blowout, we could have Minnesota as the tipping point. At some point, other states swing even more D than does Minnesota, and Minnesota gets to be the national average.
 

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