Rate Utah in 2020

[pbrower2a]

Safe R in most Presidential elections, unless the LDS hierarchy dissents with Trump and endorses a third-party conservative independent.

[pbrower2a]

An effective Independent conservative nominee could win in Utah with Trump approval in the 30s -- if Utah Democrats decide to not waste their votes on the Democratic nominee who at the best might get 40% of the vote in a binary race. Trump in 2016 did worse in Utah than did Goldwater in 1964, which is a dubious achievement in the extreme..

Trump got 45% of the vote in Utah, which is an execrable performance for a Republican -- and he has done nothing to gain support. I can imagine Utah going 40I-35R-15 D. if Democrats go along with giving a hard message to Trump.

Utah voters do not like corruption, perverse sexuality, non-market economics, or reckless foreign policy.As I see it, Utah has the strongest chance of ending up with an Atlas green color since 1924 (Lafollette winning Wisconsin) without  voting for a racist splinter (Strom Thurmond, George Wallace) from the Democratic Party.