Which hurt Trump more? C'ville or Harvey? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 06:44:18 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  U.S. General Discussion (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Chancellor Tanterterg)
  Which hurt Trump more? C'ville or Harvey? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which was more damaging to Trump?
#1
Charlottesville
 
#2
Hurricane Harvey
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 80

Author Topic: Which hurt Trump more? C'ville or Harvey?  (Read 875 times)
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,860
United States


« on: September 03, 2017, 02:36:48 AM »
« edited: September 03, 2017, 04:11:19 AM by pbrower2a »

The messy response to Charlottesville has soiled his reputation as little else could. He equated most Americans with people that they have most cause to despise and have little cause for empathy. We know what Nazis and Kluxists are: exponents of evil.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,860
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2017, 04:55:50 AM »

I devoutly wish for devastating hurricanes to slam to into the Atlantic seaboard of the United States, one after the other, until the country rejects their monstrous President.

1. A plurality of Americans rejected Donald Trump, 48-46, in the election. Donald Trump simply won the right votes.

2. Approval polls of the President are now showing approval in the mid-30s and disapproval near 60 nationwide.

3.  Disapproval in some states that he won is high enough that he could never win those states again -- at the least, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. 

DEM stands for how many electoral votes a Democrat would get before carrying a state or district, REP what the Republican nominee (I now assume Trump) would get, the disapproval rating for Trump in the most recent polling data (I estimate 80 for Dee Cee), ΔEV for the number of votes that the Democratic nominee would get if the states to the right of that column would get if winning the states to the right, and STATES for the state or district that would go for the Democratic nominee (maybe more precisely, against Trump).


DEM  REP  DIS ΔEV  STATES
000  538   80   03      DC
003  535   71   58      CA VT
061  477   66   11      MA
072  466   65   14      NJ
086  452   64   10      MD
096  442   62   29      NY 
125  413   61   13      VA
138  400   59   24      CT HI WA
161  377   58   20      IL
181  357   57   45      CO MI MN WI
222  312   56   15      DE NM OR

241  297   55   32      ME* NH PA RI TIPPING POINT/ZONE
273  265   54   11      AZ
284  254   53   06      NV
290  248   52   53      FL IA OH
343  195   51   36      TX
381  157   50   37      GA NC UT

418  120   48   16      IN WV
434  104   47   06      AR

440  098   46   19      MS MO MT
459  079   44   12      ND SC
471  067   43   16      LA NE* SD

487  051   42   29      ID KS KY TN
516  022   39   22      AL OK WY
538  000


*Maine and Nebraska divide their electoral votes.

4. It is worth remembering that disapproval is 50% or more in some states (Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina) that President Trump won -- and those three states are vulnerable to hurricanes. The Greater Philadelphia area is the part of Pennsylvania that most clearly rejected the vile demagogue, and it is the part of the state most vulnerable to a hurricane. Except for a portion of Maine well shielded from hurricanes, the rest of America from the Virginia-North Carolina wisely rejected Donald Trump.

5. It is really bad taste to wish for evil to befall a nation because of a fluke in the political system. Maybe the plagues of Egypt might have been appropriate upon Nazi Germany, where people fell for the political leader who to this day most resembles Satan in his evil. The Germans were much more culpable than the Egyptians for the nastiness of their system. Were I God, I might have afflicted the first-born sons of gentiles in Germany; I would have dried up the rivers of Germany in a drought and then inflicted horrible blizzards; I would have taken command of the German radio frequently, stifling the speeches of Hitler and his gang and replacing them with warnings of greater horrors to be ended by letting My people (the Jews) go. At some point I might have solved the problem by transmuting a lead object in the Kroll Opera House (functioning in place of the Reichstag) during a speech of Hitler into U-235 and detonating it as an atomic bomb that destroys Hitler and most of his fellow criminals and a collection of high-ranking flunkies...

But that is extreme, and I am obviously not God. 




 
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 13 queries.