Chance New York will be the only state with 20-29 EVs in the 2020s... (user search)
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  Chance New York will be the only state with 20-29 EVs in the 2020s... (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What is New York's chance of being the only state with 20-29 EVs in the 2020s?
#1
Less than 1%		  
#2
1%-2%		  
#3
2%-5%		  
#4
5%-10%		  
#5
10-20%		  
#6
20-30%		  
#7
30-40%		  
#8
40-50%		  
#9
50-60%		  
#10
60-70%		  
#11
70-80%		  
#12
80-90%		  
#13
90-95%		  
#14
95-98%		  
#15
98-99%		  
#16
More than 99%		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 41

Author Topic: Chance New York will be the only state with 20-29 EVs in the 2020s...  (Read 1182 times)
pbrower2a
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Posts: 26,921
United States


« on: March 23, 2017, 03:16:34 PM »
« edited: March 24, 2017, 05:01:39 AM by pbrower2a »
Illinois and Pennsylvania are not growing, so they stand to lose an EV or two by 2024. Florida is  gaining, so it joins the '30' club with Texas. New York could lose a little and end up with 27 or 28 electoral votes.  

I predict such with about an 80% chance.
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pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,921
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2017, 05:02:39 AM »
Quote from: Lok1999 on March 23, 2017, 05:15:27 PM
Quote from: pbrower2a on March 23, 2017, 03:16:34 PM
Illinois and Pennsylvania are not growing, so they stand to lose an EV or two by 2024. Florida is  gaining, so it joins the '30' club with Texas. New York could lose a little and end up with 27 or 28 electoral votes. 

I predict such with about an 80% chance.
I think Florida will be the only one in the 30's in the 2020s, as I think texas will probably have 40 or 41 next decade.

I corrected a pair of typos after you posted.
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