FL-Mason Dixon: Bush+5 against Clinton, but Rubio down 4 (user search)
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  FL-Mason Dixon: Bush+5 against Clinton, but Rubio down 4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Mason Dixon: Bush+5 against Clinton, but Rubio down 4  (Read 1598 times)
pbrower2a
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« on: February 06, 2015, 11:13:32 AM »
« edited: February 09, 2015, 12:50:09 PM by pbrower2a »

In view of the poor record of Mason-Dixon I am not using Mason-Dixon polls. That it gets Minnesota or Wyoming right -- who cares? Gravis is in the same category.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1 on: February 06, 2015, 11:22:43 AM »

In view of the poor record of Mason-Dixon I am not using Mason-Dixon polls. That it gets Minnesota or Wyoming right -- who cares?

Ah ... so you are only using polls you like ?

My prerogative -- and I would reject any pollster with a poor record of prediction or a pollster with a blatant tie to an institution with an agenda. Would you trust an insider poll? A poll by the US Chamber of Commerce or the NAACP? A poll whose patron is a union? Church of $cientology?

The only use for such a poll in my maps is to fill in a gap -- and then if it seems right. I see plenty of junk polls involving Michigan and Pennsylvania. 

You can trust that we are going to all see copious polls of Florida.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2015, 03:24:59 PM »

Twenty years ago? Bill Clinton was then President, and the Democrats still had considerable strength in the South, not counting Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia.

If political realities again look like those of the 1990s, then it could be a good pollster again. I have yet to see that.   
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