In PPP's upcoming Michigan poll ...

[pbrower2a]

This is one of the states I expected him to be doing awful in right now, guess among RV not so much maybe.

If it is coming out today, then any predictions will be as meaningless as any pre-game shows before the football game. Just watch the football game that decides the day.

[pbrower2a]

President Obama would absolutely crush any of the obvious GOP front-runners in Michigan except Mitt Romney. Michigan is not going to vote for any Southern reactionary for President for a long time. He would probably defeat Romney 53-47 in Michigan, which is fairly strong for Obama against someone with ties to Michigan. Approval for the President is about the same in Michigan as in Virginia, a very different state.

Rick Snyder is the newly-elected Republican Governor of Michigan, and he is a conceivable VP candidate. The only way in which he figures as a nominee in 2012 is as a VP candidate; he is vastly unproven. He could be on the short list of Republican nominees for president in 2016, especially if he presides over some Michigan Miracle.

So much for the idea that the 2010 election shows the Rust Belt going against President Obama in 2012. 

[pbrower2a]

Michigan will be a key state in 2012, it'll be interesting to see how he does.

Michigan will look tempting to the GOP. I expect President Obama to deal with Michigan in 2012 as he did in 2008: solidify it early. Michigan stands to be one of those states that exports Democratic campaigners to such states as Ohio and perhaps Indiana.