Unelectable Bystander
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« on: October 07, 2022, 09:33:52 AM » |
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Interesting, Iowa and Ohio usually have the reputation of “undecided = republican”. This seems to have been the case in Emerson’s Ohio poll but that’s not actually the case here. These undecideds look like genuine swing voters: plurality Biden disapprovers, plurality Grassley disapprovers, plurality undecided in governor but way more likely to back Reynolds at this time, voted comfortably for Biden in 2020, evenly split on 2024 vote/geography/party affiliation, overwhelmingly female. I’ll take this at face value and say Grassley wins by low double digits.
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