It’s a cliché, but even the vote share/MoE qualification isn’t going to explain away/excuse the polling misses we’re going to see this year. It’s another cliché, but every cycle keeps getting even worse for the industry.
At this point, it’s just entertainment and meme material.
No, the entertaining part is seeing people declare that the polls are wildly off this year...when it's still almost three months until Election Day.
Maybe they will be off by that much, and if so then yes, it will be a big miss. But maybe they won't. Soon enough we will know. Simply assuming the result will follow your preconceptions is just posturing.
I mean it's Wisconsin.. people have a right to he skeptical.
Remember the Biden+18 fiasco.
That was one poll, IIRC.
Not really.. Reuters and NY Times/Siena had Biden up by double digits in the state as well..
And it wasn’t just 2020. It was 53-42 Feingold at this point in 2016 per Marquette