2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Florida

[Unelectable Bystander]

Any chance the Florida GOP is expecting that the state is trending right faster than people assume and is doing this just to maximize potential gains in a good environment?

[Unelectable Bystander]

Yeah it's really weird that DeSantis came in so late regarding redistricting when first drafts were out in November. Why didn't he get involved then ? It's probably not too late to get involved but it would have been easier to get involved earlier.

A few options

A: He's just fishing for lazer eye votes. I don't think even think the national GOP apparatus would want to cut FL05. And I am not sure what the purpose of the initial map was other than the FL05 chop.
B: He didn't really pay attention to redistricting until recently .
C: He thought any map would be fine earlier in the cycle but he now believes that he will need a solid delegation coming out of FL if he wants to be a president with a trifecta in 24.

Can we get a definition of lazer eye voters? That actually made me laugh 😂

[Unelectable Bystander]

I wonder if DeSantis is serious with his implicit veto threats. If so, could give Democrats more leverage; they'd probably want a veto override over a court map.

DeSantis has vetoed 1 or 2 unanimously passed bills before and nothing happened to them FYI.

https://twitter.com/fineout/status/1480875684444749824
not related to redistricting.

Difference is that no matter what a congressional map is needed, and I think even DeSantis would prefer a slight GOP Gerry over a Court drawn map which could cause real problems for GOP incumbents, most notably Salazar who's district could become more Dem leaning (though not a guarantee, just a possiblity).

Also seems like that FL-15 is a very very narrow Biden seat possibly. Idk why the GOP legislature has an obsession with creating 3 swingy seats in Tampa, rather than a Likely Dem seat and Tossup (as is the current map)

That’s a good question. Does anybody have any insight on the 3 swingy Tampa seat obsession? It doesn’t seem to do much of anything

[Unelectable Bystander]

https://twitter.com/Bryce__FL/status/1492211022496735239?cxt=HHwWjoC53ZqBs7UpAAA...

Legal arguments aside, why does he want to dismantle that district? Isn’t it just a good excuse to create a Dem pack? Is there any scenario to make all of northern florida safe R? I would think not especially with Duval showing a pretty strong D trend

[Unelectable Bystander]

I think its really lazy to say the only point is for MAGA Chad's or laser eyes. The point now is DeSantis wants more seats so that he can run for president and come in with a R house majority .

Interesting, so the Tallahassee district would flip easily (and I assume isn’t trend left very hard) and the two Jacksonville districts wouldn’t be dummy-manders for at least several years?

Agreed, plus he can’t really be that stupid to think he’s winning over any substantial number of voters with the laser eyeing. The majority of GOP primary voters have no idea what redistricting even does, much less be willing to vote on it 3 years later lol
 

[Unelectable Bystander]

How is SE Florida so competitive (MD, PB, etc) when D’s have like 5 safe seats down there? The map looks sorta like Chicago or Philly yet those two are competitive counties

[Unelectable Bystander]

This thread is becoming a pure meme and I love it