GA (Trafalgar): Trump +7 (user search)
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  GA (Trafalgar): Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA (Trafalgar): Trump +7  (Read 4442 times)
Landslide Lyndon
px75
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Posts: 27,139
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« on: July 20, 2020, 02:11:36 PM »

So according to them Trump will do better than 2016.
Seems legit.
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
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Posts: 27,139
Greece


« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2020, 01:27:57 AM »

Regarding Trafalgar I will simply post again what I have already pointed out, according to Nate Cohn who I don't think distorts the data, Trafalgar was the 7th most accurate pollster in 2018, beating Marist and Quinnipiac. It had a 1.87% error on average in favour of the GOP. By contrast, Fox had a 3.05% error in favour of the democrats, Marist had a 4.43% error in favour of the democrats and Quinnipiac had a 2.75% error in favour of the democrats, so Trafalgar's bias was within the normal range.

 
twitter.com/GravisMarketing/status/1067057315327692805

Regarding the infamous Kemp +12 poll which was off 10.6%, I can find examples of such polling as well in other pollsters, Fox News was off 12.9% in the Indiana Senate race in 2018 but I don’t see people saying Fox can’t be trusted. NBC/Marist was off 9% in the Missouri senate race and I don’t see people saying we can’t trust it, I can find such examples in every pollster.


Dude, if you really believe that Trump will improve his 2016 performance in Georgia then you have lost all credibility.
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