MO: RABA Research: Clinton +4

[Landslide Lyndon]

Looks on the mark to me. I expect a Sanders win here. Look at AR. He did much better in the northern part of the state than Obama and Obama won MO by 2. Should be the best state of the night for Sanders.

Obama had the black vote, though.

Yeah Clinton will have the black vote this time and presumably will do significantly better than Obama did in rural Missouri (plus fewer votes will be coming from rural Missouri overall this year than in 2008).

If trends continue from other states, there with be fewer black votes as well.

What? The non-white vote has increased as a percentage of the Democratic primary electorate in every state except (strangely) Virginia.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Looks on the mark to me. I expect a Sanders win here. Look at AR. He did much better in the northern part of the state than Obama and Obama won MO by 2. Should be the best state of the night for Sanders.

Obama had the black vote, though.

Yeah Clinton will have the black vote this time and presumably will do significantly better than Obama did in rural Missouri (plus fewer votes will be coming from rural Missouri overall this year than in 2008).

If trends continue from other states, there with be fewer black votes as well.

What? The non-white vote has increased as a percentage of the Democratic primary electorate in every state except (strangely) Virginia.

Their percentages are up, but the pure vote totals are down.

The total Dem turnout in general is down but I don't see how this affects the results.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The non-white vote increased even in states like Iowa, New Hampshire and Massachusetts.