Alright, I did not expect the deals between the conservative Arab states and Iran to occur so quickly, but here we are. Out of all of it, peace has been finalized and we could see Iran be firmly connected to the regional economy bar Israel.
I highly doubt proxy shenanigans will stop so soon but we will see.
Jordan has allowed the Iraqi ba’athists to organize legally again and Iran is quite mad.
The airstrikes by Israel against predominantly PIJ, and the small scale destruction of remaining villages in the West Bank while leaving larger cities with small raids or letting the PA handle it, shows that Israel is going after small and isolated targets first as a sort of gradual effect to go after bigger ones. They know the rest of the Palestinian militias don’t care about PIJ, the only real Iranian proxy on the ground, so that’s where they are striking.
The Taliban is back to their old bulls••• of picking fights with their nearby neighbors. First Pakistan over grievances, now Iran to own the Shi’ites. Ultimately this won’t go anywhere as Iran doesn’t want war with Afghanistan and the Taliban don’t want to risk war by conventional or irregular means done by rebels, but it shows what could have been had Biden resigned the Iran deal and let the latter deal with curtailing the Taliban
I’m putting a new stance that aside from Israel/Palestine fighting there won’t be any other war till 2025. No one is benefiting from conflict so soon as serious money can be made after Covid-19 exhausted everyone.
Do you think that Israel could bomb Iran in order to get the Republicans back in the White House (we know Netanyahu likes both Trump and Desantis), by starting a regional war that would trigger a massive spike in Gas prices (and subsequently increase Inflation and Interest rates, thus damaging the World Economy) along with probably dragging the US into the war due to Iran probably retaliating on US military bases, 🤔?
