Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[THG]

This is the most recent early voting turnout map:



This is very different from what happened in NM-1 or California. No, this doesn’t mean that I believe Youngkin will win, but an upset is less insane than how I imagined it in mid September (after I was 9 points off on the California recall).

[THG]

Useful chart
https://mobile.twitter.com/RealAmerican_2/status/1448046285215371268

Early voting turnout (which benefits Democrats) is horrendous, including in most blue regions. I don’t see how T-Mac wins by single high digits like certain users on here claim- this isn’t the turnout required for an 8 point win in the state so far.

[THG]

Youngkin responds to the flag controversy:

https://www.twitter.com/BruceLeshan/status/1448717837535694859

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/JuliaManch/status/1450600786195591171
McAuliffe is objectively running the worst campaign I’ve witnessed in years.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/realLizUSA/status/1453447843117735937

Trump is an egomaniac and he’s going to purposely sabotage Youngkin so if he loses, he can say it’s because he didn’t embrace Trump enough.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/politicsmaps/status/1453852560079482882
Make what you will of this.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/politicsmaps/status/1453852560079482882
Make what you will of this.

True, but I'm wondering if that bares out. This is the first poll to show that Biden voters are not exclusively going to T-Mac. Most polls are showing both sides with about ~95% support. This one shows way more Dem/Youngkin voters than Rep/McAuliffe voters.

I don’t know if Trump-McAuliffe voters will be a thing. Ancestral Republicans in NOVA voting Democratic is an entirely different story.

[THG]

High election day turnout is exactly what Youngkin needs, and yet strangely you see the same people who said Youngkin needed exactly that now spin this as a plus for McAuliffe (this also goes for a lot of Republican doomers, not just liberals).

[THG]

NBC’s exit poll in Virginia specifically has Biden’s approval at 43% and disapproval is at 56%.

Exit polls are not necessarily equivalent to the word of God, but I cannot see how you can spin this result as possibly good news for Biden/Dems/T-Mac.

[THG]

It’s over.
https://twitter.com/hotlinejosh/status/1455643488171663360?s=21

I don’t take exit polls as gospel on principle and I get the argument that not everyone who approves of Youngkin will necessarily vote for him, but this is UNDENIABLY a fantastic sign for Youngkin if it’s anywhere close to reality.

I remain confident in my prediction of a Youngkin victory.

[THG]

With Manassas City in about 90% in Youngkin is at 80% of Trump’s vote total while Terry is at just 59% of Biden’s.

This is a very diverse city, with a plurality Latino population.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/realtonysm1th/status/1455683712453074951

Wow!

[THG]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455688205227941894
I will never forget NSV harassing me all over this forum after I was off (like everyone else) in the CA recall.

[THG]

NSV is very quiet right now.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/GiancarloSopo/status/1455740869437440003
I don’t necessarily believe this but it is interesting how much of a drastic shift this is from the CNN/WAPO polls.