CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[THG]

Everything I am seeing so far is pointing to “No” winning by around 6-15 points. Maybe once in person voting starts we’ll see a surge in Republican turnout, however, thus significantly closing the current gap.

I also *still* don’t see Newsom doing well in SoCal whatsoever. It will be the Bay Area that bails him out.

[THG]

The fact that it is apparently *mostly* older and whiter voters who are turning out is rather fascinating. Any idea on how this may effect the election, if at all?

[THG]

I still have Nuisance surviving by a 8-15 point margin or so. Of course, I never truly believed that this race would legitimately be competitive or close at any point, even when polls showed it tied.

[THG]

I think No wins by 10-15 rather than 20, but I could be wrong. Anyhow, one of my friends recently bet me $500 that recall wins and I bet $500 recall loses.

[THG]

I think No wins by 10-15 rather than 20, but I could be wrong. Anyhow, one of my friends recently bet me $500 that recall wins and I bet $500 recall loses.

Your friend is dumb but at least you made money out of it.

Yeah, I feel bad for him.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/VanceUlrich/status/1437611826456383492

I don’t know what this means, if anything, but it’ll be rather interesting.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/VanceUlrich/status/1437611826456383492
I don’t know what this means, if anything, but it’ll be rather interesting.

You didn't provide all the context.

https://twitter.com/VanceUlrich/status/1437612272872943621

You’re acting like I was saying the recall had a chance to win because of this, when I said no such thing in fact.

And the fact that Republicans apparently lead in partisan turnout in the Southernmost tip of San Diego (Chula Vista, National City) says everything regardless of “context”, really.