California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R)

[Zedonathin2020]

https://twitter.com/VanceUlrich/status/1661392077777944576

Slightly misleading. Those numbers are after "positive" candidate biographies were presented. Here are the numbers prior to that info:

Early - 27%
Porter - 24%
Schiff - 21%
Lee - 11% (!!!)
Other/undecided - 17%

Those other numbers, coupled with the fact that this is a Lee internal, lead me to believe that the campaign is pretty desperate to spin this result as a positive, despite the fact that even a 9 point swing doesn't even get her out of 4th place.

Then again, this is just one poll.

Me, the only (open) Porter Stan on the entire Website after seeing her leading the first true poll to Schiff and Lee stans after being told over and over that she’s DOA:

[Zedonathin2020]

Every serious Democratic candidate supports court packing. Does it even matter who wins?

Court packing isn't going to happen and Dems shouldn't even waste any focus on the issue.

If anything talking about Court Packing would be a real pain in the fanny for Democrats.

[Zedonathin2020]

At the state convention this weekend Porter had almost no support I counted litterally 3 volunteers the entire weekend. Lee and Schiff had several competing events and Lees had more people slightly in each one. This highlights the major problem for Porter. She has no institutional support. All the progressive party officials are behind Lee as well as most of the African American leadership. And Schiff pretty much has all the establishment and moderate support behind him. I talked with one of Porters volunteers at the convention and his argument for Porter was pretty weak and rooted in ageism about Lee, he kept implying she was only capable of serving one term.

Is he wrong though?

Well no, but what's the point of electing what is essentially a one term rental for a younger progressive in 2030 when we could just go ahead and skip to the point?

[Zedonathin2020]

New Poll: Schiff 15%, Porter 14%, Lee 6%.

47% Undecided

https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1668251712887435264?s=46&t=XC6qQa4...

[Zedonathin2020]

Lee being only 3% off from being the fourth-placed Democrat must be incredibly embarrassing for her.

This is a poll a full year out from the election where the top-placed candidate is at 15%. You really don't need to try to wring meaning out of this. It's okay to just let it be.

Seriously. Does anyone on this forum actually believe that it’ll be a close Porter vs Schiff runoff? And a poll with 47% undecided isn’t exactly meaningful.

This is not like the next presidential election, which more people would be paying attention to or aware of because it’s the presidential election, and also because the likely major party nominees are the incumbent President and the previous President (read: name recognition). The vast majority of voters aren’t paying attention to other races this far out.

I would hope that voters would have learnt enough from the Feinstein saga that electing someone who would be 84 at the end of their term is a bad idea, and that Lee therefore won't gain traction.

That’s exactly what I’ve been saying the past few months on here, support bias aside Porter is progressive enough AND has the advantage of not being old enough to have theoretically met Albert Einstein

[Zedonathin2020]

https://twitter.com/maxpcohen/status/1671653796211040265?t=ePlVhEnKDM50zy32grE4b...
This seems a bit of an unforced error, Schiff got a massive contribution from the republicans deciding to censure him. You shouldn't let him paint you as enabling them.

I don’t see how this is an error

Yeah if anything she’s just speaking the truth.

[Zedonathin2020]

Good. Lee is not entitled to that seat.

And I’m not just saying that as a Porter supporter either, it’s like she knows that she has no chance at getting elected, so she just prays that Feinstein either resigns or dies so she can get that promotion without any real work for it.

[Zedonathin2020]

https://twitter.com/BarbaraLeeForCA/status/1701041279839375670
These comments by Barabara Lee expressing her dissapointing with the descion are both sour grapes and seem to express a contemptous attitude towards the idea that voters should be able to pick their representives and the concept of senators representing all their counstituents not just the ones they share demographics charectersitcs with.

It's one of the most entitltied things i've seen written by any major us politican.

Yeah, that's a bad statement which makes her sound like a bitter person with an inflated sense of entitlement. It won't make her many new friends.

And to add to that, WHERE in that statement did she come up with the conclusion that he wouldn’t nominate a black woman? Because he’s not specifically giving HER a free promotion to the upper chamber?

I’ve had reasons to not support her campaign, such as her age and the fact that she hasn’t even placed SECOND in polls, let alone first, but this tantrum just takes the cake.

[Zedonathin2020]

Dianne Feinstein has died, per Jake Sherman at Punchbowl News. RIP.

WHAT!?!???!!!???

[Zedonathin2020]

I’m gunning for London Breed to be the placeholder, young, a woman of color, Mayor from the same city DiFi was once mayor of. It’ll be perfect

Also, I hope that this shows all the other geriatrics in congress what’s coming to them COUGHmitchmcconnellCOUGH and starts a precedented retirement wave either next year or 2026

[Zedonathin2020]

Newsom pledged to appoint a Black woman, but Barbara Lee won't get the nod because she's currently in the Senate race, so who would that leave?

-London Breed
-Malia Cohen
-Sydney Kamlager-Dove
-Karen Bass
-Kamala Harris
-Lola Smallwood-Cuevas
-Shirley Weber

bruh

[Zedonathin2020]

Official statement from President Biden

https://twitter.com/herbieziskend46/status/1707761649103282188?s=46&t=XC6qQa...

[Zedonathin2020]

Could Ro Khanna have at least waited until DiFi was in the ground before spouting this garbage? Now even HE is basically admitting Lee can’t win without that sweet, sweet incumbency advantage

Also, Alex Padilla didn’t HAVE to be appointed as a caretaker, as that wasn’t wasn’t 5 months before an open primary.

https://twitter.com/rokhanna/status/1707927672901288106?s=46&t=XC6qQa4mbo0E2...

[Zedonathin2020]

Obviously this is unlikely, but if he's insisting on appointing a black woman:
https://twitter.com/foxnewspolitics/status/1708444907298275601

This type of article exists solely to make the Fox News base even angrier at Gavin Newsom because the GOP views him as a threat. There is no shot that he is seriously considering either of these.

Also didn’t Markle renounce her citizenship? So legally she CANT run for it even if she wanted to.

The guy who wrote this either has the brain power of a Lobster, or he’s just trying to piss off the average FOX News viewer, who also happens to have the brain power of a Lobster

[Zedonathin2020]

I've gone ahead and written a rough draft of a statement for Gavin Newsom that he can feel free to use:

"A few years ago, I pledged that, if tasked with the duty to make another appointment to one of California's U.S. Senate seats, I would name an African-American woman to the seat. At the time, it was clear to me that this was an absolute necessity. The ascendence of then-Senator Kamala Harris to the Vice Presidency had left the United States Senate without representation for Black women, something that I and many others found, and still find, unacceptable.

Fortunately, since I made that pledge nearly two and a half years ago, recent developments in U.S. Senate races in states like Delaware, Maryland, and potentially more to come have made it a near certainty that it will be the voters who will rectify this problem. I'm also cognizant of the fact that, for what is now the second time I can remember, a Black woman is a major, viable candidate for the U.S. Senate right here at home in our own upcoming election. I hope all Californians will join me in celebrating this incredible milestone.

I'm also cognizant of the fact that the first round of voting in our upcoming U.S. Senate election is far too close for comfort - less than half a year away - for me to unduly influence the democratic process by giving a candidate in that election an unfair advantage with an appointment to the seat.

That is why I'm incredibly pleased to share that former U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer has agreed to briefly come out of retirement to serve out the remainder of the late, great Senator Feinstein's term. Senator Boxer and Senator Feinstein long enjoyed a strong working relationship and friendship. She will return to the Senate with seniority, and there is nobody better to manage the transition from Senator Feinstein to our new Senator who will be elected next year, while also serving Californians ably and with distinction, than her."

This…. is oddly perfect. I applaud this

[Zedonathin2020]

👀

https://twitter.com/secupp/status/1708464810763919811

Press X to doubt.  Media wishcasting does not make it so.

Also reminder that this is The Daily Mail.

What IS the daily mail? Some tabloid piece or the British answer to Fox News?

[Zedonathin2020]

I guess Lee literally bullied her way into a seat.

https://twitter.com/andrewdesiderio/status/1708600537367621936?s=46&t=XC6qQa...


At least we aren’t getting Senator Schiff

[Zedonathin2020]

https://twitter.com/ccadelago/status/1708671278696280569

Senator Porter still reigns!!!!

[Zedonathin2020]

Newsom sucks most of the time, but I do applaud him for sticking to his guns and not diddling an open primary

Rare W

[Zedonathin2020]

Election Twitter is in a state of complete anarchy right now over the whole Butler appointment

[Zedonathin2020]

Official Newsom announcement:

https://twitter.com/gavinnewsom/status/1708699205206933871?s=46&t=XC6qQa4mbo...

[Zedonathin2020]

How anybody thought Barbara Lee ever had a viable path to the Senate is something that ought be studied by scientists. Her biggest issues since February are low name recognition compared to the normie dem darlings that are Adam Schiff and Katie Porter, her being out-funded compared to Porter and Schiff ($1,000,000 BL, $10,000,000 KP, $29,000,000 AS), and of course her ripe young of 77 (soon to be 78 in 2024, and would be 84 in 2030), she would’ve beaten out Peter Welch as the oldest freshman in the history of the Senate, which after Feinstein’s death isn’t a title anyone should want

[Zedonathin2020]

I honestly don’t think Butler runs for a full term (unless she has already said otherwise and I haven’t seen)—she strikes me more as a caretaker choice who will return to her work after her term with a much higher profile and even greater donor connections. If she does run for a full term, I would understand why but she strikes me more as an advocate than a legislator.

Yeah, this gives me Delaware and Massachusetts vibes

Butler = Kaufman and Cowan

Porter, Schiff and/or Lee = Coons and Markey

[Zedonathin2020]

Lol, $50.00 would ruin small businesses. And for once the GOP wouldn’t be lying about it

[Zedonathin2020]

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1714567833969893465

Pascucci outlined a run as a moderate consensus builder in a field of bomb-throwing partisans. The 38-year-old Democrat described herself as a "truth-seeker" who would focus on legislating, adding she would apply the same approach she did to newsgathering.

"I've been covering the most pressing issues of California for the past 15 years and watching this race closely, as well as covering it and interviewing some of the candidates," Pascucci said in the interview Tuesday. "And the more I watched it, the more closely I studied it, I honestly felt dismayed by how it was shaping up. I spoke to a lot of others who felt the same way. Like, this is our future — more of the same."

Pascucci and her team also said she would work to appeal to Latinos and other voters who haven't been swayed by a trio of far better-known Democrats in the race, Reps. Adam Schiff, Katie Porter and Barbara Lee. Schiff and Porter have been atop the field in fundraising and polling for months, trading leads that have hovered in the high teens, but not breaking away.

Okay cool. Let’s continue talk about the only three (two?) that have a chance at actually being elected