Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Schiff for Senate]

Zeldin will lose, but he's currently winning State Island by 34% with 88% of the vote in per NYT. That is an insane performance, I think shows how isolating NY Dems have been to some of these communities.

34%? Welp, still doesn't matter as far as the outcome's concerned (as I said earlier - Hochul will win, and the fact that there's even the slightest question about that is quite embarrassing) - even if Zeldin replicates that level of overperformance (impressive as it is), won't be enough to win statewide.

[Schiff for Senate]

Lackawanna County is 92% in.

Fetterman +16, 57-41. Biden +8 in 2020. This is the exact type of place that Fetterman wanted to outperform.

Damn it, I'm feeling the hopium right now. Please let Fetterman pull it out.

Fetterman will pull it out for sure, and so will Shapiro.

[Schiff for Senate]

Mayra Flores conceded!

https://twitter.com/Wzrd_of_Lnlynss/status/1590205718866853889?s=20&t=GV68iE...

LMAOOOOOOOOO. This is one I really have to laugh about. The Flores surge was so fake. You love to see it. She's also a QanonNut. She deserved to lose.

This. But, while I hate to be a killjoy, the fact that she ever had even a chance in a Biden+16 seat - while being a, as you said, QAnon nut - is pretty concerning. Still, she's lost now, which is good.

[Schiff for Senate]

https://twitter.com/amyewalter/status/1590193159601999872

Independents don't vote for extremists. Maybe the GOP can take notes for next time...oh, who am I kidding, they won't be, and the base will continue nominating unelectable extremists in otherwise winnable contests.

[Schiff for Senate]

Tonight was also a horrible night for frat boy bimbos trying to run for House in North Carolina.

F--k you, Hines and Cawthorn!

Cawthorn was running? What?

[Schiff for Senate]

https://twitter.com/NewsWire_US/status/1590201684617097216

YES! So glad I was wrong! Happy to eat crow with my Michels prediction!

[Schiff for Senate]

A grifter, they called him:

https://twitter.com/jordanuhl/status/1590207413176922113

YES YES YES YES.
Boebart going down in a SHORED-UP, Trump+7 or Trump+8 seat in a Biden midterm? It's a dream come true!!

[Schiff for Senate]

Something seems very broken with the House NYT swing map lol.

I don't trust that thing anyway, it's full of weird errors

[Schiff for Senate]

Hines losing is a massive loss for the GOPs hot problematic white guy caucus.

They already lost Cawthorn, I don't know how they'll recover.

Who is Hines? And didn't Cawthorn lose his primary? So confused by this talk about those two...

[Schiff for Senate]

Tonight was also a horrible night for frat boy bimbos trying to run for House in North Carolina.

F--k you, Hines and Cawthorn!

Cawthorn was running? What?

He "should" be celebrating a win tonight.

Instead he's humping his cousin at home.

Lol

[Schiff for Senate]

Florida is like an ex who missed out on your big success because she decided to leave you for White Trash Joe in his trailer down the road.

SAD!

Florida Florida'd, just like it did in 2018. That's all there is to it. Frankly, it's irrelevant. We can win without Florida. We did it in 2018, we did in 2020, and we'll do it in 2022.

[Schiff for Senate]

There should be some GOP pickups soon. Enough to win the house, although not a wave by any means.

Please stop. Celebrate! Take the W!

WE AXED BOEBART! WE ARE DOING GREAT!!

[Schiff for Senate]

So uh, what's the over-under on Ken Calvert coming back from being 13 points behind?

Calvert's been in Congress for 30 years. He's a very dirty guy - just see his Wikipedia page.
I'd just love for him to lose.
He can be the GOP version of Collin Peterson if he does - a 30-year incumbent who lost reelection.

[Schiff for Senate]

So uh, what's the over-under on Ken Calvert coming back from being 13 points behind?

Calvert's been in Congress for 30 years. He's a very dirty guy - just see his Wikipedia page.
I'd just love for him to lose.
He can be the GOP version of Collin Peterson if he does - a 30-year incumbent who lost reelection.

His new district is a lot less favorable, at only Trump + 1.

It really comes down to whether or not heavily Dem and heavily LGBTQ Palm Springs has disproportionately high tunout to the more conservative LA suburbs/exurbs whatever you want to call them.

Of course, there are other fundamental differences between him and Peterson, too - Peterson's district was trending Republican, he was on borrowed time, he was the most conservative Democrat in the House, a Blue Dog (like all those Deep South McCain state/district Democrats in the late 2000s - only a decade later, and in western Minnesota). But his loss, after serving for 30 years, was a painful blow to him for sure, and to local Democrats.
Calverts' loss after serving 30 years will be delightful to watch. Assuming it is a loss; I've not followed his race at all.

[Schiff for Senate]

MSNBC now saying that Kevin McCarthy could lose the Speaker's race even IF the GOP narrowly wins the House as a result of this catastrophe.

That's the second time he's been brushed aside for Speaker, lol.

I hope you enjoy the position of House Minority/Majority Leader, Kevin. Because that's all you'll ever be. For all your trashing of Nancy Pelosi - she at least became Speaker of the House. That's something you will never experience!

[Schiff for Senate]

Dems: Hey, cheer up! At least you'll still win the competitive seats in Ohio!
GOP: Really?
Dems: lol Sykes

The GOP dummy gerrymander
Pro-tip, OHGOP: next time, a.) shore up the districts a bit more, b.) DON'T NOMINATE sh**t CANDIDATES.

[Schiff for Senate]

NY-GOV is gonna be within 6 points isn't it? I did not expect it to actually be this close.

Definitely an underwhelming night for the GOP, although I still think Nevada will be a bit of a bloodbath.

This, but you'll had your bright spots - the results in FL were insane.
Good thing we DON'T NEED FL to win.

[Schiff for Senate]

Gavin please… it’s time to work your magic

https://twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/1590214233094230017?s=46&t=WFg3JCN8kxNe...

The house is not happening sir...

Yeah, I still don't want to get my hopes that high...better to keep my expectations adjusted and careful and cautious.

[Schiff for Senate]

Kermit Jones is still leading.....

Oh My God.

How is this even possible ?

In 2020, Tom Mcclintock, the Republican won this area 54 to 45.

30 percent of the vote is in. When 30 percent of the vote was in in VA in 2020, Trump was leading by double digits. Can you stop spamming the same thing over and over and over when nothing has changed?

He's just a kid, but you're being a jerk. We get it that you're pissed off that your fellow goosesteppers had a bad night, but don't take it out on him.

This. Cody, you can tell him to tone down with the posting a bit more kindly.

[Schiff for Senate]

Everyone laugh

https://twitter.com/MayraFlores2022/status/1590214537051242502?s=20&t=LnqwLk...

Talk all the sh**t you want, Mayra - all we know is you're not going back to Congress come January!

[Schiff for Senate]

Yikes Platte and Clay were pretty close for Schmitt. Democrats really holding the line in these suburbs.

Missouri is a bit of a sleeper story tonight. Schmitt is only up by 12.8 with 94% in. Decent amount of vote left in both heavily GOP and Dem areas so I'd expect this to stay roughly where it is.

hahahahaha missouri is more democratic than florida hahahahahahaa

This actually happened 6 years back, too, so it's actually a repetition rather than an aberration (though of course, we all expected FL to vote to the left of MO this time). But back in 2016, Roy Blunt came actually quite close to losing to Jason Kander that year in MO - he ultimately won by 3 points. In contrast, Rubio won his race by a much more comfortable margin (though still by much less than he did this time around), 8 points.

[Schiff for Senate]

And there it is...

https://twitter.com/MSNBC/status/1590220589549101059?s=20&t=LnqwLkTtVF6K9TPg...

Thank God. That's all I can say.

[Schiff for Senate]

Major Milwaukee vote dump cleaves RoJo's lead in twain. 15% remains, just enough to possibly erase the rest and put him away.

Please. Please.

We don't need WI to hold the Senate (considering that now my PA prediction has come to fruition), and I'm not holding my breath on it flipping, though it'd certainly be a welcome addition to our latest Trifecta Blue Wall.

[Schiff for Senate]

Looks like a 51 D senate is possible now.

Always was. My personal guess coming in was 50-50 D or 51-49 D, but I leaned towards 50-50.

[Schiff for Senate]

Mineral County (95% in)
Lombardo 61-32
Laxalt 60-35
Trump 61-36

Churchill County (91% in)
Lombardo 72-22
Laxalt 72-24
Trump 73-24

Esmeralda County (95% in)
Lombardo 75-14
Laxalt 76-15
Trump 82-15

That underperformance in Esmerelda is pretty interesting. Not that it matters - the county has less than a thousand people (so this swing could also just be a fluke, slightly lower GOP turnout than usual, like a handful of GOPers not showing up to vote for some reason, whatever). It's Clark that counts.