That would be more likely - though I'm curious to know which Republican could carry Minnesota (which eluded even Trump and Reagan), New Mexico (a Democratic state at this point) or Maine (still a blue state despite ME-02's waywardness). Although Maine could flip if Collins is the nominee (a big if). New Hampshire is the only one that may occur, assuming the nominee is someone with home-grown appeal, like Gov. Chris Sununu. I think only Sununu and maybe some other New England Republican (Collins, Scott, Baker) could flip New Hampshire.
Poll
