CT Redistricting 2020

[Schiff for Senate]

The Connecticut Democrats would be fools to cede over a seat to the GOP. There's no need. Currently East Connecticut's 2nd is the most competitive district and Joe Courtney has it locked down. They should leave it mostly the same, though I think to make sure the northwestern 5th is safe for Jahana Hayes, they could replace some liberal territory from John Larson's district (it's got a D+11 CPVI, compared to the 5th's D+2 CPVI) and hand over some reddish area to Larson's district. I don't know. In all honesty, even the 4th is pretty liberal (it went for Biden by eleven points), but to be in the safe side, they can do what I just said. They could make CT01, say, D+9 instead of D+11, and simultaneously make CT05 D+4 rather than D+2.

In reference to your maps, #1 (incumbent protection - in other words, 5 blue seats) is the best choice for the party (obviously). I'd say map #2 (a 4.5-0.5 map) is the fairest and most reasonable. #3 would honestly be like the Connecticut Democrats trying to help their counterparts. A 4-1 map is obviously very favourable to the GOP, and is the sort of thing Republicans might do if they could control redistricting in CT. There's no way the Connecticut Democrats would let it pass (why would they give the GOP a free district for no reason whatsoever?). So #3 is impossible, #1 is probably the first pick of Connecticut Democrats (and similar to what they will try to get passed), and #2 might happen if Connecticut Democrats have to compromise with Connecticut Republicans for some reason (though I'd say even #2 can be easily averted by the Democrats).