Could any Democrats have won back WV, KY, MO, AR, etc. in 2004? (user search)
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  Could any Democrats have won back WV, KY, MO, AR, etc. in 2004? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Could any Democrats have won back WV, KY, MO, AR, etc. in 2004?  (Read 3750 times)
Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
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« on: August 08, 2021, 05:27:02 PM »
« edited: August 08, 2021, 05:33:32 PM by CentristRepublican »

KY nope it was gone by then


AR could have won by Hillary and MO and WV could have won by Gephardt but they would have lost some Kerry States as well(NH and maybe WI).

Exactly; KY barely went for Clinton in 1996. And even WV was a red state by 2004, and at best a Democrat could keep the margin of loss narrow-ish.

MO, AR and LA might have been plausible flips, but Democrats would only have outside shots at them, and the states would still probably be Lean or Likely Republican.

(I know the OP didn't say LA was an Appalachian state, but it did say that AR and MO were. I'd personally say TN and VA are more Appalachian than MO or AR.)
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Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
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*****
Posts: 12,423
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 14, 2023, 10:50:21 PM »

KY nope it was gone by then


AR could have won by Hillary and MO and WV could have won by Gephardt but they would have lost some Kerry States as well(NH and maybe WI).

Exactly; KY barely went for Clinton in 1996. And even WV was a red state by 2004, and at best a Democrat could keep the margin of loss narrow-ish.

MO, AR and LA might have been plausible flips, but Democrats would only have outside shots at them, and the states would still probably be Lean or Likely Republican.
 
(I know the OP didn't say LA was an Appalachian state, but it did say that AR and MO were. I'd personally say TN and VA are more Appalachian than MO or AR.)
I mean Missouri almost flipped to Obama in 2008.

Fair point. Gephardt would definitely deliver the state to the Democrats, though I think with just about any other realistic nominee, it'd stay in the GOP's column.

(Also why'd you bump a two year old thread? Lmao)
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