InsiderAdvantage Chairman Matt Towery says Fetterman’s shrinking lead was a result of self-described independent voters breaking for Oz by twenty points.
"Oz is also picking an unusually high 14% of the African American vote and Asians and Hispanics prefer Oz say they are voting for Oz by a wide margin. [sic] Fetterman continues to enjoy a ten-point lead among female voters, while men prefer Oz at that same rate," Towery explained.
Treat these crosstabs with caution, but I’ve long thought that the potential for an Oz overperformance in the Delaware Valley is very underrated. I think the county map/margins in PA-SEN will be the most atypical of any competitive Senate race this cycle.
I don't know how people thought "he's from New Jersey" was a game-changing path to landslide. Almost half of Eagles country is from New Jersey. They are very much part of the biggest city in the Pennsylvania and the Delaware Valley. People cross this line first established by God and re-established by man many times throughout their life.
