Atlas Predicts NH 2016: Who did the best, who did the worst? (user search)
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  Atlas Predicts NH 2016: Who did the best, who did the worst? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Atlas Predicts NH 2016: Who did the best, who did the worst?  (Read 2482 times)
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,803
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« on: February 10, 2016, 01:17:38 PM »

I wanted to post in the other thread, but it was locked.

In the word of Shirley Cain: "Wrong"
That goes for all y'all.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,803
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2016, 05:19:56 PM »

If y'all get a chance, a graph of Iowa vs. NH error would be intriguing as it would show who just got lucky by under/overestimating their favorite candidate consistently, who is actually good at predicting (in the context of two races of course), and who got Iowa wrong and then put too much stock in those results as race-changing.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,803
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2016, 06:02:45 PM »

If y'all get a chance, a graph of Iowa vs. NH error would be intriguing as it would show who just got lucky by under/overestimating their favorite candidate consistently, who is actually good at predicting (in the context of two races of course), and who got Iowa wrong and then put too much stock in those results as race-changing.

Eh...2 states is a bit of small sample size. We could do it but I doubt it would reveal anything significant.

Obviously. No one can predict well with any degree of significance! This is for bragging rights which is even more important
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