What does the LA election tell us about the remaining 2023 races?

[Spectator]

Literally no one here aside from maybe wbrocks was arguing Louisiana was anything other than Safe R. It’s not like Shawn Wilson was a sitting statewide row officer or congressman that could have put up a legitimate fight. Hell he wasn’t even in the legislature! Of course it was going to have a low turnout. It was a foregone conclusion on a Saturday in October where most people probably weren’t aware it was even Election Day due to the odd timing and poor spending totals. This analysis and overextrapolating is almost as ridiculous as the NH House special election.

[Spectator]

Not much. All this really shows is that black Democrats don't show up when the party doesn't try to turn them out (shocker). You saw a similar dynamic in 2022, where black turnout was pretty bad across the South but was decent in Georgia despite being a midterm.

Even in Georgia, Walker outperformed Trump in the black belt despite being a very weak candidate and Warnock being a perfect fit with them, and Kemp/Raffensperger put up numbers way better, with the latter even flipping GA-02.

Not true. Warnock did better than Biden in GA-02.