Louisiana 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

[Spectator]

Big news, looks like Jeff Landry has officially announced his bid for governor.

https://www.wdsu.com/article/louisiana-attorney-general-jeff-landry-governor/41531226#

Damn, your endorsement signature is batting .000

[Spectator]

Has anyone brought up the possibility of two Democrats sneaking into the top 2 with all these Republicans running?

[Spectator]

Dems only chance in hell of retaining this was/is if a clown car of Republicans run and split the vote and two Dems sneak into top 2

[Spectator]

I wouldn’t be surprised if we never see another Democrat Governor of Louisiana in this century. JBE was probably the last of his kind to be able to win over the requisite rural support to win. You can’t win Louisiana based on doing well in suburbs like you can in other states.

[Spectator]

I wouldn’t be surprised if we never see another Democrat Governor of Louisiana in this century.

I wouldn't go that far.  In the American system, governor is by far the easiest thing for the "wrong" party to win.

We’re going on over 40 years of one party rule in about half a dozen states, and that includes time periods where the minority party won some Senate races and other statewide races back in the 1980’s through mid-2000s. That era is gone and is showing no signs of a renaissance unfortunately.

If you include 25+ years of continuous party rule, the list gets to almost half the states.

[Spectator]

LA is one of the few southern states where veto override isn't a simple majority but 2/3rds so a Dem governor can really have an impact. Yet Dems are spending more $$ is KY/MS where the Governor's veto is pretty much meaningless. I think LA is winnable with the right investment at least to the level Beshear is getting.

Honestly, MS spending seems to be little too. I get the DGA investing heavily in Beshear for incumbency and obvious reasons, but it is frustrating that MS/LA are getting barely anything.

Why bother investing in a lost cause (which Louisiana is, whether people want to admit it or not--Mississippi is arguably not) when there are expensive races next year in North Carolina and New Hampshire on the horizon?

[Spectator]

Didn't even come to a runoff in the end. Always expected Landry to win but not quite so suddenly.

Beshear had better not be resting on his laurels already then.

Kentucky isn’t really reliant on black voters the way Louisiana and Mississippi are. This result really just reaffirms that Mississippi is Likely or even Safe R, but doesn’t tell us much about KY.