Illinois Redistricting Megathread

[Spectator]

14-3 strikes me as pretty risky, but I might be wrong? I think even under the new map, Republicans might win 5 districts on a good night (so not much change from the current partisan make-up of the state's House delegation), but who knows.

Anyway, hopefully OH, FL, and TX Republicans are taking notice.

It’s not too risky. The two downstate seats can be drawn to Clinton 52-40 (the Carbondale to East. St. Louis to Springfield to Decatur to Urbana-Champaign seat) and Bustos’s successor district can be drawn to 51-43 Clinton by making a similar snake that runs from Rockford and traces the border to Rock Island County to Peoria to Bloomington. I think Biden might have marginally improved in both downstate seats since he did better than Clinton in all the population areas downstate. The least ugly Dem gerrymander in Chicagoland that I can draw gets Underwood’s seat to 49-45 Clinton, a big change. That probably makes her pretty safe for the decade since that seat already flipped from Trump to Biden on the current lines, and shifts it another 9 points left.

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/lynnsweet/status/1448795048057921545?s=20
Shocking, I know.

If they can’t draw IL-12 and IL-17 at least Biden +17 then they messed up.

[Spectator]

Now NY and MD

[Spectator]

Bad map, didn't eliminate Bost and they didn't even make all the seats double digit Biden seats.

The downstate IL seats look like double digit Biden seats. What are you thinking of?

[Spectator]

Yeah, the more you look that this map the more dummymander potential it has.

Hopefully this isn’t the final map. All the Democratic seats should be at least Biden by double digits. It’s not that hard to draw. Missed opportunities to make IL-03, IL-17, and IL-14 bluer

[Spectator]

I F[INKS]ING LOVE IT.

It puts areas west of Rockford in the same vote sink as areas south of Springfield!

I DON'T WORSHIP A CONCEPT, I FOLLOW J.B.

I mean I think that part is really for primary reasons? I guess IL D's would prefer to have Kinzinger/Davis over other R's. Maybe Pritzker is a bit worried about Davis for some reason so he gave him a seat he would probably win in the primary? Along with that maybe Lahood has some friends in the legislature as his sink stays similar as possible instead of taking the North IL parts

Kiplinger's isn't winning any primary. It's clearly just to avoid those areas being split into two R seats so they're merged into one.

Kinzinger wouldn’t win a general election even if by some miracle he won the primary. Too many Republicans would sit out or vote for Newman out of spite.

[Spectator]

All Biden seats are  +17 or greater

It’s really not that hard to make all the iffy seats on the first draft safe. If Dems are gonna draw an ugly map anyway might as well do it right.

[Spectator]

Two VRA complaints filed against the Democrats map, which is funny. One from East St. Louis blacks that got splintered apart and one from Chicago Hispanics.

https://www.bnd.com/news/local/article255066387.html

That’s not the congressional map.

[Spectator]

The Illinois ugliness makes me so excited to see the monstrosity that NY Dems come up with