What party does McMullin caucus with if he pulls the upset? Still the Republicans? Is there any issue he'd vote with the Democrats on, or is just replacing a lunatic with a Romney type?
McMullin is not going to win, but if he did, I believe he would caucus with the Democrats.
McMullin has said that he will refuse to caucus with either party if he wins. My current prediction is almost exactly like the 2020 percentages with Lee possibly winning Grand County due to weird rural turnout in midterms.
That's interesting, although he will probably align with the Democrats more on votes.
That's not entirely different from what I was saying, though. At any rate, he would certainly be much more moderate than Lee, who has been one of the most conservative Republicans in the Senate throughout his tenure. But I will ask you, since you are a Utahn. Why has Lee's popularity diminished so much? And why is he set to do much worse than in 2016? Is it due to overall partisan trends in Utah? Or something more?
Partisan trends in Utah have made it more diverse and less Mormon. McMullin is a far stronger candidate than the Walmart cashier nominated by the democrats for the senate race in 2016. (Seriously, she was!)
What party does McMullin caucus with if he pulls the upset? Still the Republicans? Is there any issue he'd vote with the Democrats on, or is just replacing a lunatic with a Romney type?
McMullin is not going to win, but if he did, I believe he would caucus with the Democrats.
McMullin has said that he will refuse to caucus with either party if he wins. My current prediction is almost exactly like the 2020 percentages with Lee possibly winning Grand County due to weird rural turnout in midterms.
I do wonder if he would actually be able to make that happen in practice. Would he even get any committee assignments if he weren't a member of either caucus?
I don't think so. He'd probably just end up caucusing with the Democrats.
I don’t think he’d be able to do much but might eventually end up becoming an independent caucusing Republican ala Leahy/Sanders reversed.
