Non-incumbents guaranteed to be Governor by February 2023

[Utah Neolib]

AR: Sarah Sanders
HI: Josh Green
KS: Derek Schmidt
MA: Maura Healey
NW: Charles Herbster
NV: Joe Lombardo
OR: Tina Kotek
WI: Rebecca Kleefish (my least certain pick)

[Utah Neolib]

AR: Sarah Sanders
HI: Josh Green
KS: Derek Schmidt
MA: Maura Healey
NW: Charles Herbster
NV: Joe Lombardo
OR: Tina Kotek
WI: Rebecca Kleefish (my least certain pick)

You don’t think Sisolak or Evers have chances at winning?

Also, what about Dean Heller?

They obviously have chances but in my opinion these are the most likely to flip. Dean Heller completely collapsed in the polls the past few months and Lombardo has a solid Clark County base as well as being liked by rurals and suburban people. Overall he just has a really good winning coalition.

[Utah Neolib]

AR: Sarah Sanders
HI: Josh Green
KS: Derek Schmidt
MA: Maura Healey
NW: Charles Herbster
NV: Joe Lombardo
OR: Tina Kotek
WI: Rebecca Kleefish (my least certain pick)

You don’t think Sisolak or Evers have chances at winning?

Also, what about Dean Heller?

They obviously have chances but in my opinion these are the most likely to flip. Dean Heller completely collapsed in the polls the past few months and Lombardo has a solid Clark County base as well as being liked by rurals and suburban people. Overall he just has a really good winning coalition.

What about Kari Lake or James Craig?

Neither of them are guaranteed in my book as both are worse than average candidates. Craig will probably win, though I don’t think Lake will.

[Utah Neolib]

AR: Sarah Sanders
HI: Josh Green
KS: Derek Schmidt
MA: Maura Healey
NW: Charles Herbster
NV: Joe Lombardo
OR: Tina Kotek
WI: Rebecca Kleefish (my least certain pick)

You don’t think Sisolak or Evers have chances at winning?

Also, what about Dean Heller?

They obviously have chances but in my opinion these are the most likely to flip. Dean Heller completely collapsed in the polls the past few months and Lombardo has a solid Clark County base as well as being liked by rurals and suburban people. Overall he just has a really good winning coalition.

What about Kari Lake or James Craig?

Neither of them are guaranteed in my book as both are worse than average candidates. Craig will probably win, though I don’t think Lake will.

Also, what’s the deal with Herbster? I know he has Trump’s endorsement but his polling is far from insurmountable.

He seems like a natural successor to Ricketts - and his polling is decent enough.

[Utah Neolib]

AR: Sarah Sanders
HI: Josh Green
KS: Derek Schmidt
MA: Maura Healey
NW: Charles Herbster
NV: Joe Lombardo
OR: Tina Kotek
WI: Rebecca Kleefish (my least certain pick)

You don’t think Sisolak or Evers have chances at winning?

Also, what about Dean Heller?

They obviously have chances but in my opinion these are the most likely to flip. Dean Heller completely collapsed in the polls the past few months and Lombardo has a solid Clark County base as well as being liked by rurals and suburban people. Overall he just has a really good winning coalition.

What about Kari Lake or James Craig?

Neither of them are guaranteed in my book as both are worse than average candidates. Craig will probably win, though I don’t think Lake will.

Also, what’s the deal with Herbster? I know he has Trump’s endorsement but his polling is far from insurmountable.

He seems like a natural successor to Ricketts - and his polling is decent enough.

Ricketts is backing Pillen.

I’m betting Trump’s endorsement works there.

[Utah Neolib]

AR: Sarah Sanders
HI: Josh Green
KS: Derek Schmidt
MA: Maura Healey
NW: Charles Herbster
NV: Joe Lombardo
OR: Tina Kotek
WI: Rebecca Kleefish (my least certain pick)

You don’t think Sisolak or Evers have chances at winning?

Also, what about Dean Heller?

They obviously have chances but in my opinion these are the most likely to flip. Dean Heller completely collapsed in the polls the past few months and Lombardo has a solid Clark County base as well as being liked by rurals and suburban people. Overall he just has a really good winning coalition.

What about Kari Lake or James Craig?

Neither of them are guaranteed in my book as both are worse than average candidates. Craig will probably win, though I don’t think Lake will.

Also, what’s the deal with Herbster? I know he has Trump’s endorsement but his polling is far from insurmountable.

He seems like a natural successor to Ricketts - and his polling is decent enough.

Ricketts is backing Pillen.

I’m betting Trump’s endorsement works there.

Are Kleefisch, Lombardo, Lake, and Craig locks to win their primaries, or are they beatable?

Kleeifsh yes, Lombardo yes, Lake unfortunately yes, Craig probably.