MD Sen Democratic primary: Who wins?

[David Hume]

Trone. Electability is a big issue in this primary since we have to beat Hogan.

How is Trone, a white male super rich self-funder with scandals, more electable than Alsobrooks, a black female that is supported by the whole party apparatus?

[David Hume]

I'm thinking Trone at this point. PPP not giving the primary numbers is telling. There's only six days left and Trone has been in the driver's seat the entire time. Alsobrooks just hasn't made a compelling enough case as to why Trone supporters should switch to her. Despite her endorsements, she doesn't have an ideological angle or an electability angle to persuade people. She's relying solely on the endorsements and on making history as a Black woman, but that doesn't make enough of a difference.

Alsobrooks. Both two polls in May have Alsobrooks leading now.

[David Hume]

Maryland gets to avoid criticism because it's not a swing state but I distinctly remeber them counting votes very slowly in 2022, similar to California or Arizona. Will we even know the result tonight if it's close-ish?

You can blame Larry Hogan for that — he vetoed a bill that would have allowed mail-in-ballots to be counted early!

Didn't Dem have vetoproof supermajority?