What does the LA election tell us about the remaining 2023 races? (user search)

David Hume
davidhume
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,665

Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: 1.22

What does the LA election tell us about the remaining 2023 races?

« on: October 15, 2023, 11:31:32 AM »

I moved my rating of MS from likely to save R, KY from lean D to toss up, and a few changes in VA with large minorities.

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David Hume
davidhume
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,665

Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: 1.22

Re: What does the LA election tell us about the remaining 2023 races?

« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2023, 12:28:11 PM »

Quote from: Live Free or Die! on October 15, 2023, 11:32:16 AM

MS - Likely R -> Safe R
KY - Lean D -> Lean D

VA SD 24 - Tossup -> Tilt R

I have SD 16 and 31 toss up, SD 24 tilt R. HD 82 and 97 tilt R, HD 22 lean R, HD 65 toss up

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David Hume
davidhume
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,665

Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: 1.22

Re: What does the LA election tell us about the remaining 2023 races?

« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2023, 11:29:24 PM »

Quote from: 21 Young Gun Salute on October 15, 2023, 05:31:33 PM

Nothing changes. This was never the year Democrats were going to win in Mississippi, but the key difference between Louisiana and the other two states is that Democrats are investing in the latter.

If anything, I'm more bullish on Democrats winning one or both houses in Virginia than I was yesterday, just because this morning I saw an ad from Republicans about abortion. Republicans can't win on abortion here.

many people said this, but do you have any data that proves this?

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