State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread  (Read 179109 times)
Holmes
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Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #25 on: December 05, 2017, 08:54:38 PM »
So what happened? Did the Dem candidate just sh**t the bed? lol
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #26 on: January 09, 2018, 07:08:42 PM »
Oh right. It's Atlanta so no results for another 3 hours.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #27 on: January 09, 2018, 09:35:12 PM »
Yes, there were underperformances last year too. One in Rhode Island and Republicans even picked up a seat in Massachusetts last year. Sometimes contrarian results happen when the national environment is leaning one way. Democrats actually gained seats in California in 2010. Democrats picked up the governor's mansion in Connecticut in 2010. Republicans flipped KS-02 in 2008 and Democrats flipped NE-02 and FL-02 in 2014. It happens.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #28 on: January 16, 2018, 09:59:12 PM »
Nice.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #29 on: January 16, 2018, 10:01:59 PM »
RIP Baldwin /s
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #30 on: January 16, 2018, 10:05:20 PM »

/s means sarcasm.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #31 on: January 16, 2018, 10:17:43 PM »
Wow.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #32 on: January 17, 2018, 12:44:02 AM »
Walker did have a small freak out on Twitter. Gave a bunch of talking points then asked everyone to "share the good news."
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #33 on: January 17, 2018, 05:49:47 PM »
Quote from: bronz4141 on January 17, 2018, 05:38:29 PM
Isn't SD-10 where Rep. Ron Kind represents? Western Wisconsin?

I believe some of this district in Kind's turf. I'm not sure about St Croix county though?
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #34 on: January 23, 2018, 09:04:17 PM »
This is a massacre. Hopefully it does spill over to PA-18.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #35 on: January 23, 2018, 09:24:02 PM »
So a 48% margin of victory, 29% swing from Clinton/Trump and a 23% swing from the 2016 results.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #36 on: January 23, 2018, 10:36:58 PM »
Interestingly, that one Republican precinct was not the most pro-Trump one in 2016.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #37 on: January 23, 2018, 11:06:28 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on January 23, 2018, 11:05:00 PM
OREGON NUMBERS:

145 OUT OF 1335 PRECINCTS REPORTED
YES
63.57%
425,897
NO
36.43%
244,043
TOTAL VOTES
669,940

Oh that's better than I thought, but it's still early.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #38 on: January 23, 2018, 11:25:36 PM »
The percentage of completed precincts went from 25% to 29% though.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #39 on: January 23, 2018, 11:44:45 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on January 23, 2018, 11:43:00 PM
Quote from: Holmes on January 23, 2018, 11:25:36 PM
The percentage of completed precincts went from 25% to 29% though.
That's voter turnout

Oh, I see. But maybe it's a better indicator in Oregon because it's all vote by mail?
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #40 on: January 24, 2018, 12:28:12 AM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on January 24, 2018, 12:24:26 AM
Do dems want this thing in Oregon to pass?

Yes. So does most of Oregon.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #41 on: January 24, 2018, 09:33:54 AM »
I did expect yes to win but this margin is surprising.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #42 on: February 06, 2018, 08:49:41 PM »
65-35 in LD-129 now.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #43 on: February 06, 2018, 09:38:47 PM »
I hope Scaggs pulls through...
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #44 on: February 06, 2018, 10:24:06 PM »
MO Dems should try to get Scaggs to run again in November. At least know he'd know which areas of the district to focus on.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #45 on: February 06, 2018, 10:53:09 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on February 06, 2018, 10:50:56 PM
So, let's look at things overall. In three of the four races tonight, things went as expected in Missouri - Republicans win, Democrats lose. The loss was wider than I expected in 39 and 129, and smaller than I expected in 144, but still the republicans won as expected. But in District 97, we saw a vastly different result, with a Democrat winning a very republican seat, a disastrously improbable event. Looking at the county results, it is apparent that the Jefferson County vote, which is way too democratic, was the victim of voter fraud. Democrats likely bused voters from other districts in just enough numbers to illegally flip this race. What this should do is mobilize every resident of Missouri to keep careful watch over their respective polling place and do all they can to stop future fraud. I encourage the republican candidate in HD-97 to pursue electoral fraud charges for the Jefferson County portion of the district in state court as soon as feasible.

Hmm
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #46 on: February 06, 2018, 11:23:13 PM »

Imagine believing this.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #47 on: February 06, 2018, 11:46:03 PM »
Oh my god @ krazen replying to Wulfric's trolling lmao
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #48 on: February 07, 2018, 01:41:31 AM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on February 07, 2018, 12:14:47 AM
Quote from: krazen1211 on February 07, 2018, 12:10:08 AM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on February 06, 2018, 10:59:27 PM
My man already on the spin: https://twitter.com/ScottPresler/status/961085630758490112

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Bonus cringe picture:



What the hell is that supposed to be?
I thought that was a picture of you. Lol.

Pretty sure krazen is like 40 or maybe 60.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,790
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #49 on: February 11, 2018, 09:18:53 PM »
Ah, the panhandle.

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