Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 45636 times)
Holmes
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Posts: 13,786
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« on: March 15, 2016, 09:28:59 PM »

Sadly I don't think Sanders can even salvage MO. Winning all but a few rural white counties didn't cut it for Clinton in 2008.

edit: hold on, CNN prediction only has Clinton at a 12% chance? Do they know something I don't?

I believe the prediction number on CNN is Clinton's yes share on PredictIt, which has a bunch of people selling and buying based on what's coming in.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,786
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 09:50:56 PM »

Sanders isn't getting the margins he needs in the Chicago burbs. I can see Clinton take this between 2-3%.

MO is gonna depend on how heavily STL goes for Hillary.

It should be big but I don't think it'll be enough.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,786
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 11:04:34 PM »

I've been away for about an hour. What's the status of Illinois? Does anybody know where the remaining vote is out?

Well, Lake county just came in big. 90% in and Clinton still leads. There's still some left in Cook, Lake, DuPage, McHenry, LaSalle and some more here and there, but it won't be enough. It looks like a Clinton win.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,786
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #3 on: March 16, 2016, 12:47:15 AM »

This was a fun night.
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