Of course, long run our biggest threat is probably China. Between cyberspace attacks to space attacks to growing military might, they will be our biggest rival in the next quarter of a century or more.
They have no reason to hurt us, we're the reason they're so prosperous (well, our businesses are). I think they'll end up like Germany, Japan, and South Korea. Economically strong, but still no match for us.
I agree with you. I didn't say they could match our military might at all. But their growth, which will far surpass Germany and Japan, will more than likely establish them as a major center of influence in the next century. China, unlike the nations you listed, seems far more willing to challenge American influence around the world, whether dealing with nations we won't touch or contesting American regional supremacy (e.g. harassing American ships in the South China Sea).
So while they may not be able to take us in a conventional war (after all, who can?), their ability to expand and exert increased influence in Asia and around the world is a threat to modern American global dominance and will present the greatest challenge to American authority in the long-term.