sting in the rafters
slimey56
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,490
Political Matrix
E: -6.46, S: -7.30
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« on: April 16, 2021, 03:02:58 PM » |
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« edited: April 16, 2021, 04:10:33 PM by 215 till I die »
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Michigan has a lower conservative% than PA and a slightly larger black population. Those fundamentals lead me to have MI a touch to the left of PA.
The big question is turnout. PA’s always come down to which party can pump the base more, Ds still have the bigger base but obviously the advantage has shrunk due to Variable-T. Ds need to keep making inroads in the Harrisburg metro. Hopefully Joey/Casey on the ballot is enough to get good margins in Lehigh/Wyoming Valleys. Will be crucial as GOP turnout in Pennsyltucky could be heated again.
Likewise MI Dems continue to make inroads in the western side of the state? Don't know enough ab them.
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