Will the John Lewis Voting Rights Act be Upheld by the Supreme Court? (user search)
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  Will the John Lewis Voting Rights Act be Upheld by the Supreme Court? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Let's assume that by some miracle, the John Lewis Voting Rights Act gets ten Republican senators to vote for it, and it becomes law -if it is brought before the Supreme Court, do you think it will survive intact?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 27

Author Topic: Will the John Lewis Voting Rights Act be Upheld by the Supreme Court?  (Read 1817 times)
Geoffrey Howe
Geoffrey Howe admirer
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Posts: 1,782
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« on: May 28, 2021, 03:21:37 AM »

It's certainly possible Thomas joins the liberals here, but even then, there's still probably five votes to overturn it on the current court (assuming Roberts's history on voting rights continues into present decisions).

That's potentially a bold assumption to make, given that one of Roberts' problems with the old pre-clearance provisions was that they only applied to a few states, whereas the John Lewis V.R.A.'s pre-clearance provisions would apply to all 50.

Even then, Roberts is still only four votes if they can't convince another Conservative (I'd assume that person would be Thomas, being an African-American Justice, would be the next most likely to uphold the John Lewis Voting Rights Act.)

What’s that got to do with this?
Fwiw, he’s thought of as the most ‘conservative’ Justice and he wrote a wider concurrence arguing that they should have struck down preclearance in its entirety.
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Geoffrey Howe
Geoffrey Howe admirer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,782
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2021, 10:03:26 AM »

If Roberts votes to uphold national preclearance, are there still five votes to strike it down?

Thomas has come out against it, Alito and Gorsuch will probably be against. Don't know about Barrett or Kavanaugh. What about your clairvoyance?
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